Sambenedettese vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
64.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FCS
0 - 0
SSS
56%
23%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SSS
0 - 2
MOD
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
IMO
1 - 1
SSS
42%
24%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SSS
2 - 0
MAN
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FAN
0 - 2
SSS
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
MOD
0 - 1
PRG
19%
25%
57%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 0
PRG
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PRG
2 - 1
VIS
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
LEG
0 - 2
PRG
10%
21%
69%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PRG
2 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |