Sambenedettese vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
GAL
1 - 2
SSS
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
SSS
4 - 0
ANC
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
AVE
3 - 0
SSS
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SSS
3 - 1
MAR
43%
29%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
JUS
1 - 1
SSS
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
PRG
1 - 0
GIU
77%
18%
5%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
CAV
3 - 2
PRG
20%
26%
55%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
PRG
2 - 1
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SSM
1 - 0
PRG
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
PRG
1 - 0
RAV
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |