Sambenedettese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
27.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
AVE
2 - 1
SSS
48%
30%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
SSS
3 - 1
PIS
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
SAM
1 - 0
SSS
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
SSS
2 - 2
COM
50%
30%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
PIS
2 - 2
VAR
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
MOD
59%
26%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
COM
55%
27%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TER
1 - 1
VAR
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 2
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |