Barletta vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PAG
2 - 0
SSB
33%
30%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SSB
2 - 2
LAQ
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LEC
0 - 0
SSB
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SSB
0 - 2
SAL
44%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
1 - 0
SSB
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 1
FCC
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
PRG
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PRG
0 - 1
PIS
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 2
PRG
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 0
LEC
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |