Barletta vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 0
SSB
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SSB
0 - 1
PAG
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SOR
1 - 2
SSB
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SSB
0 - 1
ASA
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
FRO
3 - 1
SSB
64%
21%
14%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
FCC
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
ASG
27%
28%
46%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 2
CAR
57%
26%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PAG
2 - 0
CAR
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PRG
3 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |