Spy vs Fernelmont-Hemptinne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
15.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
10º
7º
35
2º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
82% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
REJ
0 - 5
SPY
13%
16%
71%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPY
3 - 1
GRA
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARQ
2 - 1
SPY
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPY
4 - 1
MEU
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 2
SPY
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fernelmont-Hemptinne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FEH
5 - 1
AND
59%
18%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USD
3 - 1
FEH
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FEH
2 - 0
NIS
55%
19%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FEH
2 - 2
FLA
73%
15%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
REJ
2 - 1
FEH
20%
19%
61%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |