Spy vs Condruzien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
10º
7º
50
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
82% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
SPY
21%
21%
59%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AND
2 - 0
SPY
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SPY
2 - 2
USD
63%
18%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NIS
3 - 3
SPY
32%
22%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPY
5 - 1
FEH
69%
16%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Condruzien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CON
5 - 2
AND
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
USD
0 - 1
CON
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CON
7 - 0
NIS
45%
21%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FEH
2 - 2
CON
42%
21%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CON
5 - 1
REJ
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |