SpVgg Frechen vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SPF
3 - 3
ALT
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
HUR
1 - 0
SPF
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SPF
2 - 1
PES
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SVD
0 - 0
SPF
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VIA
1 - 3
SPF
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VFL
3 - 1
SIE
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SIE
2 - 3
H05
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALT
1 - 1
SIE
32%
24%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SIE
6 - 0
HUR
29%
24%
48%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
PES
1 - 1
SIE
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |