SpVgg Erkenschwick U19 vs B. Dortmund U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
75.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
SGW
2 - 0
SES
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
BOC
4 - 1
SES
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SES
0 - 0
DUI
12%
20%
68%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ARM
5 - 1
SES
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SES
0 - 2
SCH
8%
19%
73%
|
11 | 53 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
BOR
0 - 1
BOC
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
DUI
1 - 2
BOR
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
BOR
3 - 3
ARM
73%
16%
10%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
SCH
3 - 3
BOR
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
BOR
3 - 0
ALA
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |