SpVgg Beckum vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.6%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.2%
80.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
19%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.3%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Beckum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
SBE
1 - 2
SPB
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
SOI
1 - 0
SBE
15%
25%
60%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | -2 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
SBE
2 - 0
RWL
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
SPB
0 - 2
SBE
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
SBE
5 - 3
BWW
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
F95
1 - 1
KOL
23%
27%
49%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
KOL
0 - 1
S04
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
KOL
1 - 3
TIR
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1995 |
KOL
8 - 0
TOT
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1995 |
RUD
0 - 1
KOL
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |