SpVg Porz 1919 vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
61.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
16º
12º
36
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 1
FVE
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 0
SPV
38%
23%
40%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 0
GET
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KON
4 - 1
SPV
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
3 - 2
SVE
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +4 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
HUR
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GET
1 - 2
SCF
18%
19%
64%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
KON
59%
18%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
2 - 4
SCF
62%
18%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
H05
28%
21%
52%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |