Norwegian Fourth Division Round 21

Sprint-Jeløy vs Vindbjart analysis

Sprint-Jeløy Vindbjart
31 ELO 28
11.9% Tilt 12.5%
11949º General ELO ranking 6466º
175º Country ELO ranking 89º
ELO win probability
55.3%
Sprint-Jeløy
19.7%
Draw
24.9%
Vindbjart

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
Sprint-Jeløy
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24.9%
Win probability
Vindbjart
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sprint-Jeløy
-45%
+43%
Vindbjart

Points and table prediction

Sprint-Jeløy
Their league position
Vindbjart
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
12º
38
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eik Tønsberg
71
71
100%
Pors Grenland
64
64
100%
Mandalskameratene
47
47
100%
Odd II
40
40
100%
Sprint-Jeløy
38
38
0%
Vindbjart
38
38
0%
Sandefjord II
35
35
100%
Askollen FK
34
34
100%
Fredrikstad II
31
31
100%
IK Start II
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Mjøndalen IF II
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Halsen
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Donn FK
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Randesund
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sprint-Jeløy
Vindbjart
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sprint-Jeløy
Vindbjart
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sprint-Jeløy
Sprint-Jeløy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2023
SFO
Sandefjord II
2 - 1
Sprint-Jeløy
SJE
42%
21%
37%
31 27 4 0
09 Sep. 2023
SJE
Sprint-Jeløy
7 - 1
Askollen FK
AFK
70%
16%
14%
30 25 5 +1
02 Sep. 2023
DON
Donn FK
0 - 5
Sprint-Jeløy
SJE
29%
21%
51%
29 22 7 +1
28 Aug. 2023
ODD
Odd II
4 - 0
Sprint-Jeløy
SJE
57%
19%
24%
30 33 3 -1
19 Aug. 2023
SJE
Sprint-Jeløy
6 - 0
Mjøndalen IF II
MJO
64%
18%
18%
29 24 5 +1

Matches

Vindbjart
Vindbjart
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
VIN
Vindbjart
1 - 5
Eik Tønsberg
ETO
12%
17%
71%
30 49 19 0
09 Sep. 2023
MAN
Mandalskameratene
2 - 2
Vindbjart
VIN
66%
17%
17%
30 36 6 0
04 Sep. 2023
VIN
Vindbjart
2 - 3
Odd II
ODD
46%
21%
33%
30 34 4 0
26 Aug. 2023
FFK
Fredrikstad II
1 - 2
Vindbjart
VIN
50%
21%
29%
29 31 2 +1
19 Aug. 2023
VIN
Vindbjart
2 - 4
Pors Grenland
POR
15%
19%
66%
31 47 16 -2