Spratzern vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
58.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 0
SPR
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SPR
2 - 2
STP
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
STP
2 - 1
SPR
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SPR
2 - 0
GOT
67%
19%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
MIS
1 - 2
SPR
55%
22%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WUR
1 - 2
GAF
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
WUR
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 1
WUR
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
WUR
3 - 1
KOT
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
STP
3 - 3
WUR
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |