Ostermiething vs Grün-Weiß Micheldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
7º
5º
34
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
78% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
73% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
OST
0 - 4
SVZ
55%
20%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
STM
4 - 3
OST
34%
21%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
OST
0 - 5
UNP
65%
18%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SVF
1 - 2
OST
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
OST
3 - 2
SBL
55%
20%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
GRU
1 - 5
UMA
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SVZ
2 - 2
GRU
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
GRU
2 - 2
WEA
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
STM
3 - 1
GRU
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
GRU
3 - 1
SPG
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |