Sportivo Patria vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
AHZ
2 - 1
SPA
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 2
JAN
43%
28%
30%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SJO
2 - 3
SPA
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
CDN
3 - 0
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 2
CDN
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
DCM
0 - 0
GAF
68%
21%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
GAF
0 - 0
AHZ
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
JAN
1 - 0
GAF
48%
27%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 3
GYT
45%
25%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
GAF
40%
27%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |