Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CCP
2 - 0
LQE
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
LQE
3 - 1
AME
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
LQE
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
LQE
0 - 2
GUA
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
LQE
0 - 3
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
4 - 1
UCO
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 1
SPO
66%
22%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 3
OLI
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
45%
28%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |