Sportivo Italiano vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 2
ITA
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 0
SMA
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
CCO
2 - 1
ITA
53%
25%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
ITA
0 - 0
ITU
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BER
1 - 1
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
DOC
1 - 1
LUJ
50%
26%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LUJ
2 - 1
POR
72%
19%
10%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
LUJ
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
LUJ
1 - 0
ESP
58%
23%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MID
0 - 2
LUJ
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |