Sportivo Italiano vs Los Andes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
BRO
27%
29%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
ITA
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
ARM
1 - 4
ITA
56%
26%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
LAM
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Los Andes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AND
0 - 0
STM
58%
23%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
AND
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AND
0 - 0
ACA
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
AND
1 - 2
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BRO
3 - 0
AND
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |