Sportivo Italiano vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
FLA
0 - 1
ITA
43%
30%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
ITA
0 - 1
ALB
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TIG
0 - 2
ITA
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 4
SUA
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
LAF
1 - 1
ITA
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 3
PLA
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
DEF
3 - 1
FER
41%
29%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
CAI
2 - 1
DEF
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 1
GIM
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
TFE
0 - 1
DEF
58%
22%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |