Sportivo Belgrano vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
IND
3 - 2
SPB
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SPB
1 - 0
FER
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 0
SPB
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
SPB
0 - 0
GIM
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
DHA
1 - 0
SPB
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DYJ
3 - 1
CDN
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 0
DYJ
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 1
BRO
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DYJ
0 - 0
CAU
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TAL
0 - 0
DYJ
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |