Sporting vs Bayaguana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
DEP
5 - 2
SCP
62%
22%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 2
DON
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ESC
3 - 2
SCP
58%
25%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 3
MOC
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 2
SCR
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bayaguana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 1
UNI
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 1
DEP
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
DON
5 - 0
BAY
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 2
ESC
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 3
MOC
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |