Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
SMI
1 - 0
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
SMI
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SMI
0 - 0
AMA
52%
27%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
SFF
2 - 1
SMI
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
COS
1 - 0
SMI
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 2
IND
28%
27%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GEM
0 - 4
AFC
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 2
TAU
24%
27%
50%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CHO
3 - 0
AFC
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 1
ARA
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |