Sporting San Martin vs CD Villaconejos analysis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

21.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%

22.9%

Draw

0-0

5.8%

1-1

10.9%

2-2

5.1%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

22.9%

55.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting San Martin

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
08 Mar. 2020	SSM 0 - 1 VSB 27% 22% 51%	10	12	2	0
01 Mar. 2020	CDG 4 - 0 SSM 52% 21% 28%	11	10	1	-1
23 Feb. 2020	SSM 1 - 1 BET 60% 21% 18%	11	9	2	0
16 Feb. 2020	COB 0 - 2 SSM 33% 23% 44%	11	7	4	0
09 Feb. 2020	SSM 2 - 1 MOS 43% 23% 34%	10	10	0	+1

Matches

CD Villaconejos

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
08 Mar. 2020	VCJ 1 - 1 ALZ 23% 22% 55%	14	17	3	0
01 Mar. 2020	SVI 0 - 0 VCJ 28% 24% 49%	14	11	3	0
23 Feb. 2020	VCJ 4 - 2 AAC 63% 18% 19%	13	10	3	+1
16 Feb. 2020	PVA 0 - 1 VCJ 51% 22% 27%	13	13	0	0
09 Feb. 2020	VCJ 3 - 0 BVC 65% 19% 16%	12	7	5	+1