Sporting Sada vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Sada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
XUV
2 - 1
SPO
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SPO
5 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
13%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CUL
2 - 1
SPO
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 2
TEI
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
BRE
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 2
MAR
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CUL
3 - 2
CAS
35%
21%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 1
POR
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
HER
2 - 2
CAS
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
ORD
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |