Sporting Nava vs Real Sitio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 1
ASU
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASU
0 - 4
ESR
58%
20%
23%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 1
ASU
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ASU
1 - 2
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 2
ASU
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sitio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RSI
2 - 1
CUE
60%
18%
22%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 6
RSI
24%
18%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RSI
0 - 2
CAN
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
COC
3 - 0
RSI
36%
21%
44%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 3
RSI
8%
12%
80%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |