Sporting Nava vs Atlético Hontanares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 5
ASU
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 3
ASU
46%
21%
34%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ASU
2 - 1
SMM
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
7 - 1
ASU
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ASU
3 - 1
UNI
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Hontanares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ATC
1 - 0
SMM
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
5 - 3
ATC
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ATC
0 - 0
UNI
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 3
ATC
33%
21%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ATC
3 - 0
BER
56%
19%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +2 |