Sporting Mertzig vs Wincrange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DCE
0 - 1
MER
29%
21%
50%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
RLL
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ATE
2 - 0
MER
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MER
3 - 0
JEU
52%
20%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FEU
2 - 2
MER
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 1
JGI
73%
14%
13%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 1
ERP
23%
20%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DCE
1 - 0
WIN
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 1
RLL
93%
5%
2%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ATE
5 - 1
WIN
90%
8%
3%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |