Sporting Mertzig vs Marisca Mersch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
57.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
KEH
2 - 0
MER
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
MLI
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
MER
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
MER
0 - 4
JEU
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BWM
1 - 2
MER
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 1
MLI
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JEU
0 - 6
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 4
LOR
48%
22%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RES
0 - 2
MAR
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCA
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |