Sporting Mertzig vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
74.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
10º
10º
84
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
YBD
4 - 1
MER
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
FEU
5 - 0
MER
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 0
ERP
77%
13%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MER
3 - 0
JUS
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +4 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
KEH
0 - 3
MER
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 0
AVE
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
LOR
9 - 0
COL
89%
9%
2%
|
56 | 15 | 41 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HOS
1 - 2
LOR
7%
13%
80%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 5
LOR
4%
11%
85%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FFN
0 - 4
LOR
11%
16%
73%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |