Sporting Mertzig vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
6 - 2
MER
78%
14%
7%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MER
4 - 2
MLI
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FCA
3 - 1
MER
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
RES
5 - 0
MER
66%
17%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MER
0 - 10
ESC
17%
22%
62%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -3 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
ATE
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HOS
3 - 4
BAS
28%
22%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
2 - 5
BAS
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 5
JEU
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LOR
6 - 0
BAS
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |