Sporting Macau vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
77.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-95%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CHF
6 - 1
SMA
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 2
HSA
39%
22%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SMA
5 - 2
TCK
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
LUL
2 - 2
SMA
73%
16%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 2
BEN
6%
10%
84%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HSA
0 - 4
MCA
10%
13%
77%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
MCA
2 - 1
CHF
57%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
MCA
11 - 0
LUL
84%
10%
6%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MCA
0 - 1
BEN
52%
19%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TCK
1 - 2
MCA
15%
16%
69%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |