Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Sporting CP vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.82
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.8%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.6%
3.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
SCP
6 - 0
FAB
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
FAR
0 - 2
SCP
19%
26%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
SCP
8 - 0
ORI
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCP
23%
27%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
SCP
3 - 0
LEX
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
MFF
1 - 1
ZUR
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1973 |
ZUR
0 - 0
MFF
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
ZUR
1 - 0
AND
24%
22%
54%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
AND
3 - 2
ZUR
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
WRE
2 - 1
ZUR
26%
22%
52%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | -1 |