Liga Portugal Betclic Round 4

Sporting CP vs Nacional analysis

Sporting CP Nacional
85 ELO 68
-2.8% Tilt 7.4%
100º General ELO ranking 690º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
74.3%
Sporting CP
17%
Draw
8.7%
Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
Sporting CP
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.7%
Win probability
Nacional
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting CP
+15%
-9%
Nacional

ELO progression

Sporting CP
Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2003
FCP
Porto
4 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
61%
21%
18%
86 88 2 0
23 Aug. 2003
SCP
Sporting CP
4 - 2
Os Belenenses
BEL
70%
19%
11%
85 73 12 +1
16 Aug. 2003
ACA
Académica
1 - 2
Sporting CP
SCP
21%
23%
57%
85 68 17 0
01 Jun. 2003
FCP
Porto
2 - 0
Sporting CP
SCP
62%
20%
18%
86 88 2 -1
24 May. 2003
SCP
Sporting CP
3 - 4
Vitória Setúbal
VST
79%
16%
5%
86 65 21 0

Matches

Nacional
Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2003
NAC
Nacional
4 - 0
CF Estrela Amadora
EST
55%
24%
21%
68 67 1 0
24 Aug. 2003
SPB
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Nacional
NAC
53%
24%
23%
68 71 3 0
17 Aug. 2003
NAC
Nacional
2 - 0
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
41%
27%
33%
67 74 7 +1
01 Jun. 2003
NAC
Nacional
0 - 1
Boavista
BOA
27%
27%
46%
68 82 14 -1
25 May. 2003
BEL
Os Belenenses
0 - 0
Nacional
NAC
57%
23%
20%
67 73 6 +1