Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 2
SCP
9%
18%
73%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 0
SPB
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 1
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
SCP
14%
20%
66%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
SLB
3 - 0
BEL
93%
5%
2%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 1
SLB
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
46%
23%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
ESA
0 - 4
SLB
4%
12%
84%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |