Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.7%
16.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1944 |
SCP
3 - 3
FCP
80%
11%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
37%
20%
43%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
VIT
0 - 2
SCP
7%
12%
81%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
71%
15%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 3
SCP
38%
20%
42%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 0
EST
85%
9%
6%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 1
SLB
36%
20%
44%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
88%
8%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 2
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
52%
20%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |