Sporting CP vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 2
SCP
4%
10%
86%
|
85 | 42 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
POR
4 - 2
SCP
16%
21%
64%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
VOR
1 - 2
SCP
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 0
SCP
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
ARS
3 - 1
LEI
53%
23%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FUL
1 - 5
ARS
17%
20%
63%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
QAR
0 - 3
ARS
16%
22%
63%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ARS
2 - 0
WAT
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ARS
3 - 1
BRE
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |