Sporting Hortaleza vs EF Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Hortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
HEN
1 - 2
SHO
45%
22%
33%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SHO
2 - 0
ADO
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CAB
2 - 0
SHO
33%
25%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SHO
2 - 0
AVA
37%
23%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 0
SHO
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
EF Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
EFC
4 - 0
ATA
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 1
EFC
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
EFC
1 - 2
CDS
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
AMS
1 - 2
EFC
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
EFC
3 - 0
COB
78%
15%
8%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |