Real Sporting vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
43.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
SLA
0 - 0
SPO
42%
23%
36%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
SPO
2 - 1
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
RCF
1 - 3
SPO
45%
22%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
RUN
1 - 5
SPO
52%
22%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
SPO
1 - 3
DEP
66%
18%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 1
RUN
85%
10%
6%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
DEP
7 - 0
RAC
31%
23%
46%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
RAC
3 - 1
VAD
88%
8%
4%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
OSA
0 - 2
RAC
53%
20%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
RAC
2 - 0
ARE
81%
11%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |