Real Sporting vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
7 - 0
GIN
84%
13%
3%
|
74 | 24 | 50 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
SPB
80%
15%
5%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 2
ALM
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
FUE
0 - 0
SPO
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
UDL
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
RCF
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
RCF
1 - 1
NUM
21%
23%
57%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
UPL
2 - 3
RCF
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
RCF
2 - 0
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
NUM
3 - 1
RCF
71%
19%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |