Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 0
SPO
28%
31%
41%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALM
56%
26%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
RMC
1 - 1
SPO
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
SPO
0 - 0
MAL
66%
21%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
ALB
1 - 0
SPO
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
NUM
2 - 0
CDT
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CIU
0 - 1
NUM
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
XER
1 - 1
NUM
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
NUM
1 - 0
LLE
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
NUM
2 - 1
CAS
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |