Real Sporting vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
VAD
2 - 1
SPO
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 1
SEV
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CDT
2 - 1
SPO
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
VIL
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
XER
0 - 0
SPO
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 1
MLL
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VAD
1 - 1
MAL
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 1
OSA
44%
28%
29%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SEV
2 - 2
MAL
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 1
ZAR
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |