Real Sporting vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
GIM
2 - 0
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 1
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
RSO
0 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 0
RCF
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
HER
2 - 3
SPO
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 1
NUM
53%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 1
MAL
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 0
XER
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ELC
2 - 0
MAL
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
CDT
1 - 2
MAL
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |