Real Sporting vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
MLL
2 - 1
SPO
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 1
ELC
61%
22%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
GIM
0 - 0
SPO
20%
28%
52%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 0
GRA
47%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CDT
0 - 1
SPO
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
LUG
4 - 2
ALM
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UDL
4 - 1
LUG
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 2
GRA
28%
27%
44%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CCF
0 - 4
LUG
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
2 - 2
OSA
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |