Real Sporting vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
40%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
LUG
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
MUR
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAB
2 - 0
SPO
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 2
CCF
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
MUR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SAB
2 - 1
HER
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
CCF
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 1
HER
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
GIR
48%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |