Real Sporting vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 2
ATM
43%
26%
30%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
VAD
1 - 1
SPO
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
FCB
1 - 0
SPO
83%
12%
6%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
SPO
4 - 1
VAD
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
SPO
4 - 3
BET
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
GIR
2 - 1
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
HER
2 - 2
SEV
54%
26%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
HER
8 - 0
GIR
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
SLA
2 - 0
HER
51%
27%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |