Real Sporting vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
BUR
2 - 6
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
SPO
1 - 1
CEL
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
SEV
3 - 3
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SPO
6 - 2
ALA
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
SPO
0 - 0
MLL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
ELC
0 - 2
MLL
31%
29%
40%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
JER
0 - 0
ELC
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
ELC
1 - 2
PUE
38%
29%
33%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
ALC
4 - 1
ELC
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
ELC
2 - 1
SDI
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |