Real Sporting vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
RMA
3 - 2
SPO
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 0
BET
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESP
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
BET
3 - 1
SPO
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
SEV
1 - 2
SPO
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ATH
1 - 1
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
BUR
3 - 2
RMA
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
ESP
4 - 1
BUR
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1978 |
BET
5 - 2
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
BUR
1 - 0
SEV
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |