Real Sporting vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
MUR
3 - 1
SPO
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 1
CDT
52%
27%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
VEC
0 - 2
SPO
31%
30%
40%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 1
RMC
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 1
SPO
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 0
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 1
ALM
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 2
ALA
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
HER
0 - 2
ALM
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 1
CAS
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |