Sporting Cristal vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CDE
0 - 1
SPC
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
PAY
2 - 1
SPC
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 0
CIE
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 1
CCP
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
SBO
3 - 2
SPC
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
USF
0 - 3
UCO
33%
25%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 1
CCP
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
4 - 2
UNI
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
PAY
3 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |