Sporting Cristal vs CA Manucci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 2
SPC
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 2
AGP
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SBO
3 - 5
SPC
16%
23%
62%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
AYA
0 - 1
SPC
13%
21%
67%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
CA Manucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 2
UTC
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
ALI
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AGP
2 - 1
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
SBO
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 0
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |